This research component focuses on (a) the role that public expectations play in successful petroleum sector management, and (b) the way that interest groups work to influence policy in an emerging petroleum economy.
Research suggests that the likelihood of experiencing a resource curse is correlated with the quality of a country’s institutions. This component focuses on how institutions that have been put in place to regulate lobbyism and for public communication and expectation management matter for three specific, negative effects of the resource curse:
- The potential for conflict, at times violent, within societies.
- The governance challenges created by a growing divide between the ambitions and expectations of the people and the government when it comes to revenues and expenditures.
- The increased risks of corruption and manipulation of the political system for private gain.
- Public expectations – What are the drivers and effects of people’s expectations?
- Interest groups and policy change – How does lobbyism work in Tanzania, and what are the consequences?