Petrostate Blog for the period 08.01.2018 to 25.01.2018

Starting our examination of news of the period in the macroeconomic field, the IMF Executive Board Completed Seventh PSI Review for Tanzania with the main conclusions:

  • Macroeconomic performance under the program has been satisfactory.
  • Most quantitative targets were met, though implementation of structural measures lagged.
  • Authorities should step up budget implementation, particularly in development spending.
  • Macroeconomic policies will need to be closely coordinated.

 

The Citizen however points out that the growth rate put by the IMF differs from the 7% target of the Government. The Government says that Tanzania remains among the top performers in Africa for having a steady growth rate in 2017. The economy is expected to grow by 7.0 per cent and continue to grow on average of 7.4 per cent in the medium term.

Continue reading Petrostate Blog for the period 08.01.2018 to 25.01.2018

Petrostate Blog for the period 25.12.2017 to 07.01.2018

At this usually slack turn-of-the-year time, writers and commentators take the opportunity to look back at what happened in 2017 and venture guesses and advice for 2018. A broad view on many issues are given in the Quarts News Service Africa that among other things look at “How the African economies tipped to thrive in 2017 actually performed” Continue reading Petrostate Blog for the period 25.12.2017 to 07.01.2018

Petrostate Blog for the weeks 27.11 to 10.12. 2017

In its World Energy Outlook 2017, IEA focuses on the advantages of natural gas for power generation. The role of natural gas in the future is inextricably linked to its ability to help address environmental problems. With concerns about air quality and climate change looming large, natural gas offers many potential benefits if it displaces more polluting fuels. This is especially true given limits to how quickly renewable energy options can be scaled up and that cost-effective zero-carbon option can be harder to find in some parts of the energy system. The flexibility that natural gas brings to an energy system can also make it a good fit for the rise of variable renewables such as wind and solar PV. Continue reading Petrostate Blog for the weeks 27.11 to 10.12. 2017

Petrostate Blog

A tremor in the worlds petro markets was caused recently by Norway’s sovereign fund proposing to sell off some USD 35 billion of its oil and natural gas stocks.  It caused a sharp but temporary drop in the worlds petro-stocks until the Norwegian Central Bank, that manages the fund, explained that they had merely made a proposal to the Ministry of Finance.  The Ministry will now consider the proposal and perhaps take it to the national assembly. A final decision is not expected before far into 2018.

Although the environment lobby was jubilant, the Central Bank denied that the shedding of oil stocks took place because the bank saw a future decline in the global petro industry. The Deputy Governor argued that the move was meant to diversify the economy and guard against drops in petroleum prices. Norway derives a hefty 20% of its GDP from oil and gas.

Continue reading Petrostate Blog

Policy making in the Tanzanian petro state: Building a statistical basis

This paper deals with needs and availability of data, statistics and information in Tanzania. It relates to a five-year (2014–19) research programme on prospects and challenges for the petroleum sector.

The main objectives are

  • to present a brief analysis based on data which is accessible at present and
  • to sketch a structure for the Tanzania Petro Data Hub

To read the paper click here.

Understanding the lay of the land: An institutional analysis of petro-governance in Tanzania

Tanzania has recently discovered large petroleum and natural gas reserves, boosting its natural resource stocks and potential future revenue flows. Whether the country’s petroleum resources will translate into economic development will be determined by the institutions that the government puts into place to govern the petroleum sector, to include the legal institutions. This study reviews the most important provisions of the new legislative framework that the government has recently adopted to govern this newfound wealth. We examine the institutions and actors created by the legislation as well as the opportunities and challenges that may emerge in its future implementation. Specifically, we analyse the petro-sector institutions that the legislation creates and the types of authorities granted to them; the institutional constraints placed on authorities; the interaction between institutions; potential institutional overlaps, conflicts and gaps; and transparency and accountability mechanisms. Read the paper here

Governance challenges in Tanzania’s natural gas sector: unregulated lobbyism and uncoordinated policy

Fjeldstad, Odd-Helge and Johnsøn, Jesper. 2017. Governance challenges in Tanzania’s natural gas sector: unregulated lobbyism and uncoordinated policy. Chapter 3 (pp. 44-57) in Aled Williams and Philippe le Billon (eds.) Corruption, natural resources and development: from resource curse to political ecology. Edward Elgar Publishing. http://www.e-elgar.com/shop/corruption-naturalresources-and-development

HOW CAN TANZANIA HARNESS NATURAL RESOURCES: TRAINING

Organised and delivered by REPOA and Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) from 03 to 07 July 2017 at REPOA, Dar es Salaam. The training was a hands-on “learning from practice” workshop that focused on building the understanding of the links between, and the dynamics of, extractives governance and the implementation of the Second Five-Year Development Plan (FYDP II). The training aimed to improve participants’ knowledge of not only policy options and tools to achieving the objectives of the plan, but of also the inherent challenges…read more here